All matches

Aalborg BK — Vejle Boldklub, 1st Division

Denmark, 1st Division

Aalborg BK
1.1DDWDL
—
Vejle Boldklub
0.9DDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%25%42%
Aalborg BK33%Draw25%Vejle Boldklub42%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aalborg BK33%3.06—
XDraw25%4.01—
2Vejle Boldklub42%2.36—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.64

No39%

ours 2.55

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAalborg BKVejle BoldklubCombined
Goals scored1.171.672.84
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners10.69.09.8
Cards1.81.43.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Aalborg BKVejle Boldklub

Aalborg BK 33%, Vejle Boldklub 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Aalborg BK 33%Draw 25%Vejle Boldklub 42%
1st half
34 · 35 · 31
2nd half
21 · 33 · 46
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 3.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Aalborg BK

  • homeVendsyssel FF2:2
  • awayHvidovre IF2:2
  • awayAkademisk Boldklub2:0
  • homeHB Køge0:0
  • awayHobro IK1:2

Vejle Boldklub

  • awayFC Fredericia2:2
  • awayHobro IK0:0
  • homeVendsyssel FF4:1
  • awayAarhus Fremad0:0
  • homeEsbjerg fB4:2

Head to head

  • 04/28/25Superliga0:1
  • 04/06/25Superliga1:1
  • 11/03/24Superliga3:3
  • 10/04/24Superliga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hvidovre IF963018:921
2Vejle Boldklub954022:1319
3FC Fredericia935112:614
4Aarhus Fremad934210:913
5Aalborg BK934211:1113
6Hobro IK941412:1613
7Vendsyssel FF924310:1410

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.