Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64price 1.53
No39%
ours 2.57price 2.35
All matches
Hobro — Esbjerg, 1st Division: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%26%37%
HobroPrice 2.5137%DrawPrice 3.4526%EsbjergPrice 2.5137%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Hobro2.742.51-0.4
XDraw3.803.45+0.2
2Esbjerg2.692.51+0.2
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HobroEsbjerg
Hobro IK 37%, Esbjerg fB 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Hobro IK 37%Draw 26%Esbjerg fB 37%
1st half
29 · 36 · 36
2nd half
34 · 34 · 32
Prices: 2.51 · 3.45 · 2.51
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
65%1.40
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHobroEsbjergCombined
Goals scored1.201.202.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Hobro- Winless in 8 matches1:1, 2:2, 0:3, 1:1, 2:5
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
- Winless at home in 4 matches2:2, 1:1, 0:0, 1:3, 2:1
Esbjerg- Winless away in 5 matches0:0, 0:3, 0:1, 2:4, 1:2
- Relegation zone: 12th of 12
- Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.2 per match12 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Hobro
- awayAalborg BK1:1
- homeVendsyssel2:2
- awayFC Fredericia0:3
- homeKolding1:1
- awayHB Koge2:5
Esbjerg
- homeHvidovre1:1
- homeFC Fredericia2:1
- awayAarhus Fremad0:0
- homeAalborg BK3:3
- awayAB0:3
Head to head
- 08/15/261st Division2:1
- 10/16/251st Division1:1
- 08/24/251st Division2:0
- 11/03/241st Division2:3
- 07/26/241st Division3:6
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Denmark, 1st Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.