Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
Kisvarda — Puskas Akademia, NB I
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%29%43%
Kisvarda28%Draw29%Puskas Akademia43%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kisvarda3.56—
XDraw3.43—
2Puskas Akademia2.34—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KisvardaPuskas Akademia
Kisvárda Master Good SE 28%, Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 43%. The safest is “Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC or draw” at 72%.
Kisvárda Master Good SE 28%Draw 29%Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 43%
1st half
24 · 42 · 34
2nd half
30 · 38 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKisvardaPuskas AkademiaCombined
Goals scored1.001.202.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Kisvarda- Winless at home in 8 matches1:1, 0:1, 1:1, 0:0, 2:4
- Fewest shots on target in the league — 3.2 per match12 teams in the league
- Worst attack in the league — 12 goals in 11 matches8th place, 12 points
Puskas Akademia- 2nd in the table — 21 points from 11 matches
- 11th of 12 for shots — 10.1 per match12 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Kisvarda
- awayZalaegerszeg1:1
- homeFerencvaros1:1
- awayVasas1:1
- homePaks0:1
- awayMTK Budapest2:1
Puskas Akademia
- homeNyiregyhaza Spartacus1:2
- awayUjpest1:0
- awayETO Gyor1:0
- homeKispest-Honved3:1
- awayZalaegerszeg0:1
Head to head
- 07/31/26NB I2:0
- 03/06/26NB I1:0
- 11/22/25NB I0:2
- 08/10/25NB I2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Hungary, NB I: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.