Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
—
Kispest-Honved — Kisvarda, NB I
Hungary, NB I
Kispest-Honved
1.8LLWLD
Kisvarda
1.6LWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%26%22%
Kispest-Honved52%Draw26%Kisvarda22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kispest-Honved1.93—
XDraw3.84—
2Kisvarda4.53—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKispest-HonvedKisvardaCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners11.312.311.8
Cards3.31.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kispest-HonvedKisvarda
Kispest-Honvéd FC 52%, Kisvárda Master Good SE 22%. The safest is “Kispest-Honvéd FC or draw” at 82%.
Kispest-Honvéd FC 52%Draw 26%Kisvárda Master Good SE 22%
1st half
46 · 38 · 16
2nd half
36 · 38 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kispest-Honved
- awayPuskas Akademia1:3
- awayETO Gyor2:3
- homeZalaegerszeg1:0
- homeVasas1:2
- awayPaks2:2
Kisvarda
- homePaks0:1
- awayMTK Budapest2:1
- homeETO Gyor1:1
- homeDebrecen0:0
- awayNyiregyhaza Spartacus1:2
Head to head
- 07/25/26NB I1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Paks832316:1711
Paks832316:17117
MTK Budapest823315:149
MTK Budapest823315:1498Kisvarda82339:109
Kisvarda82339:1099
Debrecen823312:159
Debrecen823312:15910
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:14811Kispest-Honved713311:146
Kispest-Honved713311:14612
Zalaegerszeg82067:176
Zalaegerszeg82067:176Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.