Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
—
Puskas Akademia — Debrecen, NB I
Hungary, NB I
Puskas Akademia
2.5WLLWW
Debrecen
1.9LWDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%26%27%
Puskas Akademia47%Draw26%Debrecen27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Puskas Akademia2.12—
XDraw3.84—
2Debrecen3.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPuskas AkademiaDebrecenCombined
Goals scored0.671.332.00
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners9.713.311.5
Cards2.32.75.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Puskas AkademiaDebrecen
Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 47%, Debreceni VSC 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Puskás Ferenc Akadémia FC 47%Draw 26%Debreceni VSC 27%
1st half
39 · 38 · 23
2nd half
33 · 38 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Puskas Akademia
- homeKispest-Honved3:1
- awayZalaegerszeg0:1
- homeFerencvaros1:2
- awayVasas1:0
- homePaks3:2
Debrecen
- homeVasas2:4
- awayPaks4:2
- homeMTK Budapest2:2
- awayKisvarda0:0
- homeETO Gyor1:1
Head to head
- 07/26/26NB I2:0
- 03/22/26NB I1:1
- 12/06/25NB I1:0
- 08/22/25NB I1:3
- 05/10/25NB I4:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
ETO Gyor843116:1015
ETO Gyor843116:10152Puskas Akademia850313:1015
Puskas Akademia850313:10153
Vasas842217:1114
Vasas842217:11144
Ujpest842217:1314
Ujpest842217:13145
Ferencvaros733111:812
Ferencvaros733111:8126
Paks832316:1711
Paks832316:17117
MTK Budapest823315:149
MTK Budapest823315:1498
Kisvarda82339:109
Kisvarda82339:1099Debrecen823312:159
Debrecen823312:15910
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:14811
Kispest-Honved713311:146
Kispest-Honved713311:146Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.