All matches

Zalaegerszeg — MTK Budapest, NB I

Hungary, NB I

Zalaegerszeg
1.7LWLLL
—
MTK Budapest
1.6LLDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
42%26%32%
Zalaegerszeg42%Draw26%MTK Budapest32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zalaegerszeg42%2.37—
XDraw26%3.88—
2MTK Budapest32%3.12—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.62

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZalaegerszegMTK BudapestCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.501.001.50
Corners8.712.010.3
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZalaegerszegMTK Budapest

Zalaegerszegi TE 42%, MTK Budapest FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Zalaegerszegi TE 42%Draw 26%MTK Budapest FC 32%
1st half
35 · 39 · 25
2nd half
32 · 35 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zalaegerszeg

  • awayUjpest1:2
  • homePuskas Akademia1:0
  • awayKispest-Honved0:1
  • awayETO Gyor0:3
  • homeFerencvaros0:1

MTK Budapest

  • homeETO Gyor1:2
  • homeKisvarda1:2
  • awayDebrecen2:2
  • homeNyiregyhaza Spartacus2:1
  • awayUjpest1:1

Head to head

  • 07/27/26NB I0:3
  • 04/11/26NB I0:3
  • 12/20/25NB I1:1
  • 09/21/25NB I0:1
  • 03/08/25NB I1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Ferencvaros733111:812
6Paks832316:1711
7MTK Budapest823315:149
8Kisvarda82339:109
9Debrecen823312:159
10Nyiregyhaza Spartacus82249:148
11Kispest-Honved713311:146
12Zalaegerszeg82067:176

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.