Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
Hammarby — Elfsborg, Allsvenskan
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%21%15%
Hammarby64%Draw21%Elfsborg15%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hammarby1.56—
XDraw4.80—
2Elfsborg6.61—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HammarbyElfsborg
Hammarby IF 64%, IF Elfsborg 15%. The safest is “Hammarby IF or draw” at 85%.
Hammarby IF 64%Draw 21%IF Elfsborg 15%
1st half
44 · 39 · 17
2nd half
53 · 30 · 16
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Over 7.5
70%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHammarbyElfsborgCombined
Goals scored1.202.003.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Hammarby- 4 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 2:0, 1:0, 0:1, 1:0
- Best attack in the league — 54 goals in 26 matches1st place, 52 points
- 3 wins in a row2:0, 2:0, 1:0, 0:1, 1:0
Elfsborg- Unbeaten in 6 matches2:2, 0:0, 2:2, 4:0, 2:1
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches2:2, 0:0, 2:2, 4:0, 2:1
- 10 draws in 26 matches — most in the league5th place, 43 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Hammarby
- homeSirius2:0
- awayMjallby2:0
- awayHalmstads1:0
- homeDjurgarden0:1
- awayDegerfors IF1:0
Elfsborg
- awayAIK2:2
- homeMalmo0:0
- awaySirius2:2
- homeHalmstads4:0
- awayDjurgarden2:1
Head to head
- 07/05/26Allsvenskan2:1
- 11/09/25Allsvenskan3:0
- 05/31/25Allsvenskan2:0
- 09/22/24Allsvenskan0:0
- 04/15/24Allsvenskan3:0
More matches in this competition
Sweden, Allsvenskan: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.