Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
—
Elfsborg — Örgryte IS, Allsvenskan
Sweden, Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
2.2WWLWD
Örgryte IS
1.4LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%23%19%
Elfsborg58%Draw23%Örgryte IS19%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Elfsborg1.72—
XDraw4.44—
2Örgryte IS5.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricElfsborgÖrgryte ISCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.171.001.17
Corners10.08.59.3
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ElfsborgÖrgryte IS
IF Elfsborg 58%, Örgryte IS 19%. The safest is “IF Elfsborg or draw” at 83%.
IF Elfsborg 58%Draw 23%Örgryte IS 19%
1st half
41 · 39 · 20
2nd half
45 · 34 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Elfsborg
- awayDjurgarden2:1
- homeKalmar FF1:0
- awayBrommapojkarna1:2
- homeDegerfors2:0
- awayIFK Goteborg1:1
Örgryte IS
- homeSirius1:2
- awayMalmo1:4
- homeHammarby1:1
- awayIFK Goteborg0:1
- homeHalmstads1:1
Head to head
- 05/29/26Allsvenskan2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Hammarby22134549:2043
Hammarby22134549:20433
Djurgarden21122745:2138
Djurgarden21122745:21384Elfsborg22107531:2237
Elfsborg22107531:22375
Hacken2299439:3036
Hacken2299439:30366
Vasteras22105734:3535
Vasteras22105734:35357
Malmo22103937:3333
Malmo22103937:33338
AIK2195730:3332
AIK2195730:33329
IFK Goteborg2295831:4132
IFK Goteborg2295831:413210
GAIS2186728:1830
GAIS2186728:183011
Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
Brommapojkarna2276930:362712
Mjallby21561026:3721
Mjallby21561026:372113
Degerfors21541219:3219
Degerfors21541219:321914
Kalmar FF22541321:3619
Kalmar FF22541321:361915Örgryte IS22361325:4915
Örgryte IS22361325:491516
Halmstads22351416:4014
Halmstads22351416:4014Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.