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Halmstads vs AIK: result 2:1

Sweden, AllsvenskanMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: AIK 55%, draw 26%, Halmstads 18%.

0.9LWLLW
2:1HT 0:0
2.0DWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
18%26%55%
Halmstads18%Draw26%AIK55%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.18xG1.62
34Possession, %66
18Shots16
10Shots on target3
4Corners3
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
11Fouls6
1Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 70 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    AIK55%

    Actual: Halmstads — we had 18%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.559%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 41%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No57%

    Actual: Yes — we had 43%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Halmstads18%5.44—
XDraw26%3.78—
2AIK55%1.81—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Halmstads

  • homeMalmo0:3
  • awayVasteras2:1
  • homeHammarby0:1
  • awayElfsborg0:4
  • homeAIK2:1

AIK

  • homeElfsborg2:2
  • awaySirius2:1
  • homeIFK Goteborg2:2
  • homeBrommapojkarna5:6
  • awayHalmstads1:2

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Allsvenskan2:1
  • 04/05/26Allsvenskan1:2
  • 11/09/25Allsvenskan2:0
  • 07/06/25Allsvenskan2:0
  • 11/10/24Allsvenskan1:5

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Malmo271241142:3640
8IFK Goteborg27108936:4638
9AIK25107841:4437
10GAIS2597932:2434
11Brommapojkarna27971139:4434
12Mjallby25671229:4225
13Kalmar FF26641623:4222
14Degerfors IF26551622:4420
15Örgryte IS27471633:6019
16Halmstads26451718:4917

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.