All matches

Mjallby — Kalmar FF, Allsvenskan

Sweden, Allsvenskan

Mjallby
2.5LDLLL
—
Kalmar FF
1.2LLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
54%23%22%
Mjallby54%Draw23%Kalmar FF22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mjallby54%1.84—
XDraw23%4.29—
2Kalmar FF22%4.47—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.77

No43%

ours 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMjallbyKalmar FFCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.001.001.00
Corners—9.0—
Cards—0.5—
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MjallbyKalmar FF

Mjällby AIF 54%, Kalmar FF 22%. The safest is “Mjällby AIF or draw” at 75%.

Mjällby AIF 54%Draw 23%Kalmar FF 22%
1st half
36 · 38 · 25
2nd half
39 · 38 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Mjallby

  • homeGAIS0:3
  • awayHacken1:1
  • homeIFK Goteborg1:4
  • homeDjurgarden0:2
  • awayDjurgarden0:4

Kalmar FF

  • homeHacken0:5
  • awayElfsborg0:1
  • homeDjurgarden0:1
  • awayHalmstads0:1
  • awayVasteras0:0

Head to head

  • 07/25/26Allsvenskan1:2
  • 10/20/24Allsvenskan3:0
  • 04/29/24Allsvenskan3:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10GAIS2186728:1830
11Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
12Mjallby21561026:3721
13Degerfors21541219:3219
14Kalmar FF22541321:3619
15Örgryte IS22361325:4915
16Halmstads22351416:4014

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.