All matches

GAIS — AIK, Allsvenskan

Sweden, Allsvenskan

GAIS
2.4WDWLL
—
AIK
2.4LLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
52%24%25%
GAIS52%Draw24%AIK25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1GAIS52%1.93—
XDraw24%4.21—
2AIK25%4.07—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.32

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGAISAIKCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded0.000.330.33
Corners5.07.06.0
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GAISAIK

GAIS 52%, AIK Fotboll 25%. The safest is “GAIS or draw” at 78%.

GAIS 52%Draw 24%AIK Fotboll 25%
1st half
45 · 37 · 18
2nd half
35 · 38 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

GAIS

  • awayMjallby3:0
  • homeHacken0:0
  • homeBrommapojkarna4:0
  • awayHammarby0:2
  • homeMalmo0:1

AIK

  • awayHalmstads1:2
  • homeVasteras1:4
  • awayMalmo0:0
  • homeHammarby3:2
  • awayDjurgarden3:1

Head to head

  • 07/18/26Allsvenskan0:2
  • 09/28/25Allsvenskan1:1
  • 03/31/25Allsvenskan0:1
  • 07/29/24Allsvenskan1:0
  • 07/22/24Allsvenskan2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Vasteras22105734:3535
7Malmo22103937:3333
8AIK2195730:3332
9IFK Goteborg2295831:4132
10GAIS2186728:1830
11Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
12Mjallby21561026:3721

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.