Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.71
No41%
ours 2.41
All matches
—
Sirius — Halmstads, Allsvenskan
Sweden, Allsvenskan
Sirius
2.4WWLLL
Halmstads
0.9WLLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%20%14%
Sirius65%Draw20%Halmstads14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sirius1.53—
XDraw4.92—
2Halmstads6.90—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSiriusHalmstadsCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners9.012.010.5
Cards2.00.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SiriusHalmstads
IK Sirius Fotboll 65%, Halmstads BK 14%. The safest is “IK Sirius Fotboll or draw” at 84%.
IK Sirius Fotboll 65%Draw 20%Halmstads BK 14%
1st half
46 · 36 · 18
2nd half
44 · 34 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sirius
- awayÖrgryte IS2:1
- awayVasteras1:0
- homeMalmo0:1
- homeHacken0:3
- awayMjallby3:4
Halmstads
- homeAIK2:1
- awayIFK Goteborg1:2
- awayDegerfors0:2
- homeKalmar FF1:0
- awayÖrgryte IS1:1
Head to head
- 08/03/26Allsvenskan2:0
- 08/09/25Allsvenskan1:0
- 04/27/25Allsvenskan1:1
- 10/19/24Allsvenskan1:3
- 04/01/24Allsvenskan3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius21153350:2848
Sirius21153350:28482
Hammarby22134549:2043
Hammarby22134549:20433
Djurgarden21122745:2138
Djurgarden21122745:21384
Elfsborg22107531:2237
Elfsborg22107531:22375
Hacken2299439:3036
Hacken2299439:30366
Vasteras22105734:3535
Vasteras22105734:35357
Malmo22103937:3333
Malmo22103937:33338
AIK2195730:3332
AIK2195730:33329
IFK Goteborg2295831:4132
IFK Goteborg2295831:413210
GAIS2186728:1830
GAIS2186728:183011
Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
Brommapojkarna2276930:362712
Mjallby21561026:3721
Mjallby21561026:372113
Degerfors21541219:3219
Degerfors21541219:321914
Kalmar FF22541321:3619
Kalmar FF22541321:361915
Örgryte IS22361325:4915
Örgryte IS22361325:491516Halmstads22351416:4014
Halmstads22351416:4014Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.