All matches

Goias — CRB, Serie B

Brazil, Serie B

Goias
2.2LLWWL
—
CRB
1.9LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%25%32%
Goias43%Draw25%CRB32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Goias43%2.33—
XDraw25%3.99—
2CRB32%3.13—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.61

No38%

ours 2.63

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGoiasCRBCombined
Goals scored0.000.670.67
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners9.513.011.3
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GoiasCRB

Goiás EC 43%, Clube de Regatas Brasil 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Goiás EC 43%Draw 25%Clube de Regatas Brasil 32%
1st half
35 · 37 · 28
2nd half
32 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Goias

  • awayGremio Novorizontino0:3
  • homeAC Goianiense0:1
  • homeAvai2:1
  • awayBotafogo-SP3:1
  • awayVila Nova0:2

CRB

  • awaySao Bernardo1:3
  • homeCuiaba3:0
  • awayPonte Preta0:1
  • homeSC do Recife2:1
  • awayOperario Ferroviario0:3

Head to head

  • 07/12/26Serie B2:2
  • 10/08/25Serie B1:2
  • 06/14/25Serie B0:2
  • 11/09/24Serie B1:0
  • 07/26/24Serie B1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Criciuma31158833:2753
6AC Goianiense311410739:2752
7CRB311461146:4448
8Operario Ferroviario31139943:4148
9SC do Recife311211842:3347
10Cuiaba311113732:2546
11Sao Bernardo311291043:3245
12Athletic (MG)311012937:3542
13Nautico311191139:3842
14Goias311261330:3942
15Ceara311091234:3939
16Botafogo-SP31981434:3735

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.