All matches

Fortaleza — CRB, Serie B

Brazil, Serie B

Fortaleza
2.4DDWDW
—
CRB
1.9LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%25%26%
Fortaleza48%Draw25%CRB26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fortaleza48%2.06—
XDraw25%3.98—
2CRB26%3.79—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.43

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFortalezaCRBCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded0.831.332.16
Corners8.010.09.0
Cards0.81.42.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FortalezaCRB

Fortaleza EC 48%, Clube de Regatas Brasil 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Fortaleza EC 48%Draw 25%Clube de Regatas Brasil 26%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
35 · 38 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Fortaleza

  • homeNautico1:1
  • homeAthletic (MG)2:2
  • awayLondrina2:1
  • homeCeara1:1
  • homeAvai1:0

CRB

  • awaySao Bernardo1:3
  • homeCuiaba3:0
  • awayPonte Preta0:1
  • homeSC do Recife2:1
  • awayOperario Ferroviario0:3

Head to head

  • 06/21/26Serie B1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Juventude31168735:1956
3Gremio Novorizontino31159752:2754
4Fortaleza311411636:2753
5Criciuma31158833:2753
6AC Goianiense311410739:2752
7CRB311461146:4448
8Operario Ferroviario31139943:4148
9SC do Recife311211842:3347

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.