All matches

Clube de Regatas Brasil — Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto, Serie B

Brazil, Serie B

Clube de Regatas Brasil
1.9WLWLW
—
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto
1.3WDLLL
Outcome probability
622215
Clube de Regatas Brasil62%Draw22%Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto15%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Clube de Regatas Brasil62%1.60—
XDraw22%4.48—
2Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto15%6.55—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.98

No49%

ours 2.02

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClube de Regatas BrasilBotafogo FC Ribeirão PretoCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded0.330.671.00
Corners10.79.09.8
Cards2.02.74.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Clube de Regatas BrasilBotafogo FC Ribeirão Preto
    8Table position16
    57.00%Possession50.00%
    6Days of rest5.8
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour Clube de Regatas Brasil: a home win is rated at 62%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Clube de Regatas Brasil

  • homeCuiabá EC3:0
  • awayAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta0:1
  • homeSC do Recife2:1
  • awayOperário Ferroviário EC0:3
  • homeAmérica FC - Minas Gerais3:1

Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto

  • homeAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta2:0
  • awayAthletic Club (Minas Gerais)1:1
  • homeGoiás EC1:3
  • homeGrêmio Novorizontino1:3
  • awayClube Náutico Capibaribe0:1

Head to head

  • 06/30/26Serie B1:0
  • 09/24/25Serie B3:2
  • 05/26/25Serie B1:2
  • 09/25/24Serie B0:0
  • 07/17/24Serie B4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6AC Goianiense301310737:2749
7Operário Ferroviário EC30139843:3848
8Clube de Regatas Brasil301461045:4148
9SC do Recife301111840:3244
10Cuiabá EC301013730:2543
11São Bernardo FC301191040:3142
12Athletic Club (Minas Gerais)301012836:3342
13Goiás EC301261230:3642
14Clube Náutico Capibaribe301181138:3741
15Ceará SC30991233:3936
16Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto30981334:3635
17Avai FC30861630:4130
18Londrina EC30771639:4328

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.