Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.51
All matches
—
Goias — Nautico, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
Goias
2.2LLWWL
Nautico
1.8DWLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%25%26%
Goias49%Draw25%Nautico26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Goias2.05—
XDraw4.00—
2Nautico3.81—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGoiasNauticoCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.001.332.33
Corners10.812.011.4
Cards2.81.84.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GoiasNautico
Goiás EC 49%, Clube Náutico Capibaribe 26%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Goiás EC 49%Draw 25%Clube Náutico Capibaribe 26%
1st half
45 · 37 · 19
2nd half
32 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Goias
- awayGremio Novorizontino0:3
- homeAC Goianiense0:1
- homeAvai2:1
- awayBotafogo-SP3:1
- awayVila Nova0:2
Nautico
- awayFortaleza1:1
- homeSC do Recife3:1
- awayCuiaba0:3
- homeOperario Ferroviario3:3
- awayAmerica Mineiro1:2
Head to head
- 06/28/26Serie B1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Sao Bernardo311291043:3245
Sao Bernardo311291043:324512
Athletic (MG)311012937:3542
Athletic (MG)311012937:354213Nautico311191139:3842
Nautico311191139:384214Goias311261330:3942
Goias311261330:394215
Ceara311091234:3939
Ceara311091234:393916
Botafogo-SP31981434:3735
Botafogo-SP31981434:3735Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.