All matches

Clube de Regatas Brasil — AC Goianiense, Serie B

Brazil, Serie B

Clube de Regatas Brasil
1.9WLWLW
—
AC Goianiense
1.8WLWWD
Outcome probability
502525
Clube de Regatas Brasil50%Draw25%AC Goianiense25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Clube de Regatas Brasil50%2.01—
XDraw25%4.01—
2AC Goianiense25%3.94—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.94

No49%

ours 2.06

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricClube de Regatas BrasilAC GoianienseCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners9.49.89.6
Cards1.42.23.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Clube de Regatas BrasilAC Goianiense
    8Table position6
    5Days of rest4.2
    53.60%Possession48.00%
    2Matches in 14 days2
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Clube de Regatas Brasil look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 50%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Clube de Regatas Brasil

  • homeCuiabá EC3:0
  • awayAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta0:1
  • homeSC do Recife2:1
  • awayOperário Ferroviário EC0:3
  • homeAmérica FC - Minas Gerais3:1

AC Goianiense

  • awayGoiás EC1:0
  • awaySão Bernardo FC0:1
  • homeCriciuma EC4:0
  • homeCeará SC2:1
  • awayEC Juventude2:2

Head to head

  • 06/12/26Serie B3:3
  • 10/26/25Serie B2:1
  • 07/04/25Serie B1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Grêmio Novorizontino30149749:2751
5Criciuma EC30148831:2750
6AC Goianiense301310737:2749
7Operário Ferroviário EC30139843:3848
8Clube de Regatas Brasil301461045:4148
9SC do Recife301111840:3244
10Cuiabá EC301013730:2543

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.