All matches

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano de Cordoba prediction

Argentina, Primera División

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Gimnasia La Plata 41%, Belgrano de Cordoba 30%, draw 29%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%29%30%
Gimnasia La PlataPrice 2.3541%DrawPrice 3.2429%Belgrano de CordobaPrice 3.1430%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Gimnasia La Plata41%41%2.412.35+0.7
XDraw29%29%3.463.24-0.2
2Belgrano de Cordoba30%30%3.373.14-0.4

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.84price 1.83

No46%

ours 2.19price 1.87

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Gimnasia La PlataBelgrano de Cordoba

Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 41%, CA Belgrano de Córdoba 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 41%Draw 29%CA Belgrano de Córdoba 30%
1st half
41 · 41 · 19
2nd half
27 · 36 · 37

Prices: 2.35 · 3.24 · 3.14

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

69%1.41
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGimnasia La PlataBelgrano de CordobaCombined
Goals scored1.601.002.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Gimnasia La Plata
  • Unbeaten in 9 matches2:1, 2:0, 2:1, 1:1, 1:1
  • Unbeaten at home in 4 matches2:0, 1:1, 2:2, 2:1, 2:3
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.6 per match30 teams in the league
Belgrano de Cordoba

Nothing unusual in recent matches.

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Gimnasia La Plata

  • awayAA Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
  • homeSarmiento2:0
  • awayHuracan2:1
  • homeTucuman1:1
  • awayIndependiente Rivadavia1:1

Belgrano de Cordoba

  • homeBarracas Central2:2
  • awayAldosivi0:1
  • homeRiver Plate0:3
  • awayRacing Club2:0
  • awayTalleres de Cordoba1:0

Head to head

  • 04/26/26Primera División1:0
  • 12/10/16Primera División1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Boca Juniors321612447:2660
4River Plate351851248:3159
5Belgrano de Cordoba351611840:2959
6Gimnasia La Plata331761043:4057
7Velez Sarsfield321414443:2856

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.