All matches

Belgrano de Cordoba — Barracas Central, Primera División

Argentina, Primera División

Belgrano de Cordoba
2.0WWDDD
—
Barracas Central
2.0WLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%26%21%
Belgrano de Cordoba53%Draw26%Barracas Central21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Belgrano de Cordoba53%1.90—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Barracas Central21%4.72—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBelgrano de CordobaBarracas CentralCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners10.010.010.0
Cards2.04.56.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Belgrano de CordobaBarracas Central

CA Belgrano de Córdoba 53%, Barracas Central 21%. The safest is “CA Belgrano de Córdoba or draw” at 80%.

CA Belgrano de Córdoba 53%Draw 26%Barracas Central 21%
1st half
37 · 40 · 23
2nd half
42 · 38 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Belgrano de Cordoba

  • awayTalleres de Cordoba1:0
  • homeEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
  • awaySarmiento1:1
  • homeHuracan1:1
  • awayTucuman0:0

Barracas Central

  • awayTucuman3:2
  • homeIndependiente Rivadavia0:1
  • homeArgentinos Juniors0:0
  • awayTigre0:0
  • homePlatense1:2

Head to head

  • 04/20/26Primera División0:0
  • 09/29/25Primera División1:1
  • 03/17/25Primera División1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Argentinos Juniors30169536:2457
2Belgrano de Cordoba311510636:2355
3Rosario Central30158737:2853
4Independiente Rivadavia28157645:3152
5Boca Juniors281311441:2350
6River Plate301541142:2949
7Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
8Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
9Estudiantes281351032:1944
10Huracan291111731:2444
11Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
12Independiente28118936:3541
13Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
14Lanus27108928:2638
15Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
16Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
17Barracas Central2698922:2335
18Racing Club29981232:3435
19Sarmiento261121330:3635

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.