Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.87book 2.10
No47%
ours 2.15book 1.66
All matches
Lanus — Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Lanus
2.3DWWDW
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
1.8LLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%27%21%
LanusMarket 1.6551%DrawMarket 3.7227%Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de MendozaMarket 5.6221%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lanus1.951.65-6.2
XDraw3.653.72+1.9
2Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza4.715.62+4.3
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3273 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3263 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3246 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LanusAtlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
CA Lanús 51%, Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 21%. The safest is “CA Lanús or draw” at 80%.
CA Lanús 51%Draw 27%Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 21%
1st half
37 · 45 · 19
2nd half
46 · 33 · 21
Bookmakers: 1.65 · 3.72 · 5.62
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Under 26.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLanusAtlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de MendozaCombined
Goals scored1.200.401.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Lanus- 3 clean sheets in the last 51:1, 1:0, 2:0, 0:0, 2:1
- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches2:0, 2:1, 1:0, 1:1, 1:3
- Unbeaten in 6 matches1:1, 1:0, 2:0, 0:0, 2:1
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza- Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches1:2, 0:1, 1:0, 0:3, 0:0
- One win in the last 5 matches1:2, 0:1, 1:0, 0:3, 0:0
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Lanus
- awayBanfield1:1
- awayPlatense1:0
- homeVelez Sarsfield2:0
- awayNewell's Old Boys0:0
- homeEstudiantes2:1
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
- homePlatense1:2
- awayVelez Sarsfield0:1
- homeNewell's Old Boys1:0
- awayEstudiantes0:3
- homeRiestra0:0
Head to head
- 04/21/26Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Defensa y Justicia301210838:3446
Defensa y Justicia301210838:344611
Estudiantes301361135:2345
Estudiantes301361135:234512
Lanus30129932:2745
Lanus30129932:274513
Huracan3211111032:3044
Huracan3211111032:304414
Independiente3111101037:3743
Independiente3111101037:374315
Barracas Central29119927:2542
Barracas Central29119927:254216
San Lorenzo de Almagro3110111023:2841
San Lorenzo de Almagro3110111023:284117
Sarmiento301241435:4140
Sarmiento301241435:414018
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza301161330:3739
Atlético Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza301161330:373919
Union de Santa Fe311081344:4538
Union de Santa Fe311081344:453820
Racing Club32991433:3836
Racing Club32991433:3836Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.