All matches

Tucuman — Argentinos Juniors, Primera División

Argentina, Primera División

Tucuman
1.3LLLWD
—
Argentinos Juniors
2.8WLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%26%43%
Tucuman31%Draw26%Argentinos Juniors43%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Tucuman31%3.25—
XDraw26%3.80—
2Argentinos Juniors43%2.33—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.21

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricTucumanArgentinos JuniorsCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners7.710.39.0
Cards1.31.32.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

TucumanArgentinos Juniors

CA Tucuman 31%, Argentinos Juniors 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

CA Tucuman 31%Draw 26%Argentinos Juniors 43%
1st half
35 · 39 · 26
2nd half
23 · 39 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Tucuman

  • homeBarracas Central2:3
  • awayAldosivi0:1
  • homeRiver Plate1:2
  • awayRacing Club2:1
  • homeBelgrano de Cordoba0:0

Argentinos Juniors

  • homeTigre2:1
  • awayRosario Central0:1
  • homeGimnasia La Plata1:1
  • awayBarracas Central0:0
  • homeAldosivi2:1

Head to head

  • 04/19/26Primera División0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Argentinos Juniors30169536:2457
2Belgrano de Cordoba311510636:2355
3Rosario Central30158737:2853
4Independiente Rivadavia28157645:3152
5Boca Juniors281311441:2350
6River Plate301541142:2949
7Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
8Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
9Estudiantes281351032:1944
10Huracan291111731:2444
11Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
12Independiente28118936:3541
13Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
14Lanus27108928:2638
15Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
16Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
17Barracas Central2698922:2335
18Racing Club29981232:3435
19Sarmiento261121330:3635
20Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
21San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
22Tigre27711928:2632
23Newell's Old Boys27711926:3532
24Tucuman27691224:2927
25Banfield26761328:3527
26Platense275111121:3226

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.