Both teams to score
Yes64%
ours 1.57
No36%
ours 2.76
All matches
—
Independiente Rivadavia — Banfield, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Independiente Rivadavia
2.3DWWLW
Banfield
1.5DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%24%19%
Independiente Rivadavia58%Draw24%Banfield19%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Independiente Rivadavia1.73—
XDraw4.25—
2Banfield5.32—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIndependiente RivadaviaBanfieldCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners9.78.59.1
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield
Independiente Rivadavia 58%, CA Banfield 19%. The safest is “Independiente Rivadavia or draw” at 81%.
Independiente Rivadavia 58%Draw 24%CA Banfield 19%
1st half
47 · 33 · 20
2nd half
41 · 34 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Goal in both halves: Yes
67%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Independiente Rivadavia
- homeGimnasia La Plata1:1
- awayBarracas Central1:0
- homeAldosivi4:3
- awayRiver Plate1:3
- homeRacing Club3:1
Banfield
- homeRosario Central1:1
- awayGimnasia La Plata2:2
- awayAldosivi1:3
- homeRiver Plate2:3
- awayNewell's Old Boys1:2
Head to head
- 04/20/26Primera División0:0
- 10/18/25Primera División1:2
- 04/11/25Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Belgrano de Cordoba311510636:2355
Belgrano de Cordoba311510636:23553
Rosario Central30158737:2853
Rosario Central30158737:28534Independiente Rivadavia28157645:3152
Independiente Rivadavia28157645:31525
Boca Juniors281311441:2350
Boca Juniors281311441:23506
River Plate301541142:2949
River Plate301541142:29497
Velez Sarsfield281213335:2449
Velez Sarsfield281213335:24498
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:3747
Gimnasia La Plata291451036:37479
Estudiantes281351032:1944
Estudiantes281351032:194410
Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411
Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312
Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:324014
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:423716
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518
Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:323421
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:273422
Tigre27711928:2632
Tigre27711928:263223
Newell's Old Boys27711926:3532
Newell's Old Boys27711926:353224
Tucuman27691224:2927
Tucuman27691224:292725Banfield26761328:3527
Banfield26761328:352726
Platense275111121:3226
Platense275111121:322627
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:3525
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:3525Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.