All matches

Platense — Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero, Primera División

Argentina, Primera División

Platense
1.6DLLDL
—
Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
1.5DDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%27%27%
Platense47%Draw27%Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Platense47%2.14—
XDraw27%3.77—
2Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27%3.76—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.76

No43%

ours 2.32

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPlatenseCentral Córdoba de Santiago del EsteroCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners6.37.77.0
Cards3.02.35.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PlatenseCentral Córdoba de Santiago del Estero

Platense 47%, Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero 27%. The safest is “Platense or draw” at 75%.

Platense 47%Draw 27%Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero 27%
1st half
41 · 39 · 20
2nd half
35 · 38 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Platense

  • awayVelez Sarsfield2:2
  • homeNewell's Old Boys0:1
  • awayEstudiantes1:2
  • homeRiestra1:1
  • awayDefensa y Justicia0:1

Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero

  • awayRiestra1:1
  • homeDefensa y Justicia2:2
  • awayBoca Juniors1:3
  • homeIndependiente0:1
  • awayTalleres de Cordoba0:0

Head to head

  • 04/20/26Primera División3:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
24Tucuman27691224:2927
25Banfield26761328:3527
26Platense275111121:3226
27Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero27671419:3525
28Riestra263131014:2022
29Aldosivi272101518:3616

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.