Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.25
All matches
Makhachkala — Krylia Sovetov, Premier League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%32%34%
Makhachkala34%Draw32%Krylia Sovetov34%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Makhachkala2.91—
XDraw3.14—
2Krylia Sovetov2.95—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MakhachkalaKrylia Sovetov
FK Makhachkala 34%, PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 68%.
FK Makhachkala 34%Draw 32%PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 34%
1st half
34 · 42 · 24
2nd half
30 · 37 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 9.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMakhachkalaKrylia SovetovCombined
Goals scored0.801.402.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Makhachkala- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
- Winless in 5 matches0:2, 1:1, 0:4, 1:3, 2:3
- Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings4:1, 0:2, 2:0, 4:0, 1:0
Krylia Sovetov- Unbeaten away in 6 matches2:0, 1:1, 3:3, 3:0, 1:1
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:0, 1:2, 1:1, 1:1, 2:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Makhachkala
- awayZenit0:2
- homeAkron Togliatti1:1
- awayOrenburg0:4
- homeCSKA Moscow1:3
- awayAkhmat Grozny2:3
Krylia Sovetov
- awayRubin Kazan2:0
- homeFakel Voronezh1:2
- homeSpartak Moscow1:1
- awayLokomotiv Moskva1:1
- homeRodina Moskva2:1
Head to head
- 08/16/26Premier League4:1
- 03/08/26Premier League0:2
- 11/01/25Premier League2:0
- 03/15/25Premier League4:0
- 09/01/24Premier League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Russia, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.