Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
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Makhachkala — Rostov, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Makhachkala
1.2LLWLL
Rostov
1.5LLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%29%29%
Makhachkala42%Draw29%Rostov29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Makhachkala2.39—
XDraw3.46—
2Rostov3.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMakhachkalaRostovCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners8.77.38.0
Cards2.32.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MakhachkalaRostov
FK Makhachkala 42%, FK Rostov 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
FK Makhachkala 42%Draw 29%FK Rostov 29%
1st half
34 · 41 · 24
2nd half
31 · 40 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Makhachkala
- homeCSKA Moscow1:3
- awayAkhmat Grozny2:3
- homeRodina Moskva2:0
- awayRubin Kazan1:3
- homeKrasnodar0:1
Rostov
- homeDinamo Moskva0:3
- awaySpartak Moscow0:3
- homeFakel Voronezh3:1
- awayKrasnodar0:1
- awayAkhmat Grozny1:4
Head to head
- 05/02/26Russian Premier League1:2
- 10/25/25Russian Premier League1:1
- 05/24/25Russian Premier League1:1
- 09/22/24Russian Premier League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110
Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912
Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:18813Rostov922510:178
Rostov922510:17814
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:11715
Rodina Moskva912610:225
Rodina Moskva912610:225Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.