Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.06
No52%
ours 1.94
All matches
—
Rubin Kazan — Fakel Voronezh, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Rubin Kazan
2.1DDDWD
Fakel Voronezh
0.9LDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
61%26%14%
Rubin Kazan61%Draw26%Fakel Voronezh14%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rubin Kazan1.65—
XDraw3.92—
2Fakel Voronezh7.18—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRubin KazanFakel VoronezhCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.501.001.50
Corners12.09.310.7
Cards2.32.34.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Rubin KazanFakel Voronezh
FK Rubin Kazan 61%, FK Fakel Voronezh 14%. The safest is “FK Rubin Kazan or draw” at 81%.
FK Rubin Kazan 61%Draw 26%FK Fakel Voronezh 14%
1st half
37 · 45 · 18
2nd half
37 · 40 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Rubin Kazan
- awayRodina Moskva1:1
- awayCSKA Moscow1:1
- homeAkhmat Grozny1:1
- homeMakhachkala3:1
- awayBaltika Kaliningrad1:1
Fakel Voronezh
- awaySpartak Moscow0:1
- homeBaltika Kaliningrad2:2
- awayRostov1:3
- homeZenit0:1
- homeOrenburg0:0
Head to head
- 04/27/25Russian Premier League2:1
- 09/27/24Russian Premier League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Dinamo Moskva961214:819
Dinamo Moskva961214:8195
Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127
Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110
Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912
Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:18813
Rostov922510:178
Rostov922510:17814
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:117
Lokomotiv Moskva91448:11715
Rodina Moskva912610:225
Rodina Moskva912610:22516Fakel Voronezh90366:133
Fakel Voronezh90366:133Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.