Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.76
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Dinamo Moskva — Akhmat Grozny, Russian Premier League
Russia, Russian Premier League
Dinamo Moskva
2.6WWWWW
Akhmat Grozny
1.5LWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%23%13%
Dinamo Moskva64%Draw23%Akhmat Grozny13%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dinamo Moskva1.57—
XDraw4.28—
2Akhmat Grozny7.69—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDinamo MoskvaAkhmat GroznyCombined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded0.170.831.00
Corners7.09.38.2
Cards1.73.75.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Dinamo MoskvaAkhmat Grozny
FK Dinamo Moskva 64%, FK Akhmat Grozny 13%. The safest is “FK Dinamo Moskva or draw” at 84%.
FK Dinamo Moskva 64%Draw 23%FK Akhmat Grozny 13%
1st half
50 · 33 · 17
2nd half
38 · 39 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Dinamo Moskva
- awayRostov3:0
- homeOrenburg1:0
- homeSpartak Moscow2:1
- awayLokomotiv Moskva1:0
- homeRodina Moskva3:1
Akhmat Grozny
- awayAkron Togliatti0:2
- homeMakhachkala3:2
- awayRubin Kazan1:1
- homeKrylia Sovetov3:3
- homeRostov4:1
Head to head
- 11/30/25Russian Premier League1:2
- 10/19/25Russian Premier League2:2
- 12/02/24Russian Premier League1:1
- 09/15/24Russian Premier League4:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Spartak Moscow961216:719
Spartak Moscow961216:7193
CSKA Moscow954015:919
CSKA Moscow954015:9194Dinamo Moskva961214:819
Dinamo Moskva961214:8195
Zenit960319:918
Zenit960319:9186
Rubin Kazan926112:1112
Rubin Kazan926112:11127
Makhachkala940515:1612
Makhachkala940515:16128
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:1211
Baltika Kaliningrad932414:12119
Krylia Sovetov925213:1411
Krylia Sovetov925213:141110Akhmat Grozny924313:1310
Akhmat Grozny924313:131011
Orenburg91627:109
Orenburg91627:10912
Akron Togliatti915311:188
Akron Togliatti915311:188Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.