Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.52
All matches
Koper — Celje, PrvaLiga
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%27%30%
Koper44%Draw27%Celje30%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Koper2.29—
XDraw3.75—
2Celje3.36—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KoperCelje
FC Koper 44%, NK Celje 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
FC Koper 44%Draw 27%NK Celje 30%
1st half
40 · 29 · 31
2nd half
34 · 36 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKoperCeljeCombined
Goals scored3.001.004.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Koper- 15 goals in the last 5 matches4:0, 5:0, 3:3, 2:0, 1:3
- 3 clean sheets in the last 54:0, 5:0, 3:3, 2:0, 1:3
- Best attack in the league — 23 goals in 13 matches1st place, 25 points
Celje- Worst attack in the league — 14 goals in 12 matches5th place, 19 points
- Played in Europe this week
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Koper
- homeMaribor4:0
- homeBrinje-Grosuplje5:0
- awayRadomlje3:3
- homeNafta Lendava2:0
- homeOlimpija Ljubljana1:3
Celje
- awayOlimpija Ljubljana1:1
- homeSalzburg2:2
- awayMaribor1:0
- homeOmonia0:3
- homeAluminij1:0
Head to head
- 09/06/26PrvaLiga1:0
- 05/16/26PrvaLiga2:1
- 03/15/26PrvaLiga0:1
- 11/30/25PrvaLiga1:1
- 09/14/25PrvaLiga3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Slovenia, PrvaLiga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.