Both teams to score
Yes65%
ours 1.55
No35%
ours 2.82
All matches
Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico Sullana prediction
VARStats prediction for 7 November: Alianza Atletico Sullana 38%, Cajamarca 37%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%25%38%
Cajamarca37%Draw25%Alianza Atletico Sullana38%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Cajamarca2.67—
XDraw4.05—
2Alianza Atletico Sullana2.64—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches
Cards prediction
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CajamarcaAlianza Atletico Sullana
FC Cajamarca 37%, Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Cajamarca 37%Draw 25%Club Alianza Atlético Sullana 38%
1st half
35 · 37 · 27
2nd half
31 · 35 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Over 2.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCajamarcaAlianza Atletico SullanaCombined
Goals scored0.801.802.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Cajamarca- Winless at home in 9 matches1:3, 0:1, 1:2, 2:5, 1:3
- 3 defeats in a row1:3, 2:4, 0:1, 0:0, 1:2
- Relegation zone: 17th of 18
Alianza Atletico Sullana- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:0, 3:2, 1:4, 1:4, 3:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Cajamarca
- homeUT Cajamarca1:3
- awaySport Boys2:4
- homeUCV Moquegua0:1
- awayDeportivo Tarma0:0
- homeCusco1:2
Alianza Atletico Sullana
- homeJuan Pablo II1:0
- homeGarcilaso3:2
- awaySport Huancayo1:4
- homeUniversitario de Deportes1:4
- awaySport Boys3:1
Head to head
- 05/24/26Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Peru, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.