Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.27
All matches
—
UCV Moquegua — Los Chankas, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
UCV Moquegua
1.5LLLLW
Los Chankas
2.0DLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%26%30%
UCV Moquegua44%Draw26%Los Chankas30%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UCV Moquegua2.28—
XDraw3.84—
2Los Chankas3.32—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUCV MoqueguaLos ChankasCombined
Goals scored0.170.330.50
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners10.07.08.5
Cards3.52.05.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UCV MoqueguaLos Chankas
UCV Moquegua 44%, Los Chankas 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
UCV Moquegua 44%Draw 26%Los Chankas 30%
1st half
36 · 39 · 26
2nd half
31 · 41 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
UCV Moquegua
- awayJuan Pablo II0:4
- homeSporting Cristal1:2
- awayReal Garcilaso0:2
- homeAlianza Atletico Sullana1:4
- awaySport Huancayo2:0
Los Chankas
- awayCienciano1:1
- homeCajamarca1:2
- awaySporting Cristal0:5
- homeJuan Pablo II3:4
- awayUniversitario de Deportes0:3
Head to head
- 05/17/26Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Melgar27137745:2946
Melgar27137745:29465
Real Garcilaso271431040:3845
Real Garcilaso271431040:38456Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811
Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512
Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:523413
Atletico Grau27951326:3132
Atletico Grau27951326:313214
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:383015
Cajamarca27761441:5227
Cajamarca27761441:522716
Deportivo Tarma27671429:4225
Deportivo Tarma27671429:422517UCV Moquegua27671424:4125
UCV Moquegua27671424:412518
UT Cajamarca27481532:5020
UT Cajamarca27481532:5020Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.