Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
Cusco — Sport Boys, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Cusco
2.5WLLWL
Sport Boys
1.8LLDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%22%13%
Cusco65%Draw22%Sport Boys13%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cusco1.54—
XDraw4.61—
2Sport Boys7.58—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3273 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3263 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3246 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CuscoSport Boys
Cusco FC 65%, Sport Boys Association 13%. The safest is “Cusco FC or draw” at 87%.
Cusco FC 65%Draw 22%Sport Boys Association 13%
1st half
45 · 37 · 18
2nd half
45 · 36 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCuscoSport BoysCombined
Goals scored1.400.802.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Cusco- Led at half-time in 7 of 10 matches
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings0:1, 3:0, 2:1, 3:1, 0:3
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 53:1, 1:2, 1:2, 2:1, 0:1
Sport Boys- Winless away in 4 matches0:2, 1:1, 1:2, 1:1, 1:0
- Most yellow cards in the league — 2.7 per match18 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Cusco
- homeSporting Cristal3:1
- awaySport Huancayo1:2
- homeAlianza Lima1:2
- awayCajamarca2:1
- homeMelgar0:1
Sport Boys
- awayJuan Pablo II0:2
- homeAlianza Atletico Sullana1:3
- awayMelgar1:1
- homeGarcilaso1:0
- awaySport Huancayo1:2
Head to head
- 05/17/26Primera División0:1
- 11/07/25Primera División3:0
- 07/06/25Primera División2:1
- 08/05/24Primera División3:1
- 02/24/24Primera División0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Melgar30158753:3453
Melgar30158753:34534
Garcilaso29146941:2948
Garcilaso29146941:29485
Cusco301531245:4348
Cusco301531245:43486
Cienciano301451150:4347
Cienciano301451150:43477
Los Chankas29137938:4646
Los Chankas29137938:46468
Sporting Cristal301351254:4544
Sporting Cristal301351254:45449
Sport Huancayo301351244:4644
Sport Huancayo301351244:464410
Alianza Atletico Sullana301271145:4443
Alianza Atletico Sullana301271145:444311
Sport Boys291081130:3138
Sport Boys291081130:313812
Juan Pablo II301081245:5638
Juan Pablo II301081245:563813
Comerciantes Unidos308101241:4434
Comerciantes Unidos308101241:4434Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.