Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.50
All matches
—
Sport Huancayo — Melgar, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
Sport Huancayo
1.6WWWWL
Melgar
2.9DWWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%25%34%
Sport Huancayo41%Draw25%Melgar34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sport Huancayo2.44—
XDraw3.95—
2Melgar2.97—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSport HuancayoMelgarCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners8.514.511.5
Cards4.51.05.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sport HuancayoMelgar
CD Sport Huancayo 41%, FBC Melgar 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
CD Sport Huancayo 41%Draw 25%FBC Melgar 34%
1st half
33 · 39 · 28
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sport Huancayo
- homeUT Cajamarca3:2
- awayComerciantes Unidos1:0
- homeSport Boys2:1
- awayDeportivo Tarma3:1
- homeUCV Moquegua0:2
Melgar
- homeSport Boys1:1
- awayReal Garcilaso1:0
- homeDeportivo Tarma3:0
- awayAtletico Grau0:1
- homeAlianza Lima1:1
Head to head
- 05/16/26Primera División1:4
- 10/26/25Primera División0:2
- 06/21/25Primera División2:2
- 10/27/24Primera División2:4
- 05/18/24Primera División1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Universitario de Deportes27147643:3149
Universitario de Deportes27147643:31493
Garcilaso27146739:2448
Garcilaso27146739:24484Melgar27137745:2946
Melgar27137745:29465
Real Garcilaso271431040:3845
Real Garcilaso271431040:38456
Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512
Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:523413
Atletico Grau27951326:3132
Atletico Grau27951326:3132Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.