Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.49
All matches
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UT Cajamarca — Garcilaso, Primera División
Peru, Primera División
UT Cajamarca
0.7LLLLL
Garcilaso
2.4WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%24%48%
UT Cajamarca28%Draw24%Garcilaso48%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UT Cajamarca3.53—
XDraw4.22—
2Garcilaso2.09—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUT CajamarcaGarcilasoCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners8.010.59.3
Cards3.52.05.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UT CajamarcaGarcilaso
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca 28%, Club Deportivo Garcilaso 48%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca 28%Draw 24%Club Deportivo Garcilaso 48%
1st half
29 · 40 · 31
2nd half
30 · 37 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
UT Cajamarca
- awaySport Huancayo2:3
- homeJuan Pablo II1:2
- awayAlianza Atletico Sullana2:3
- homeUniversitario de Deportes2:4
- homeComerciantes Unidos1:3
Garcilaso
- homeUniversitario de Deportes4:0
- awaySport Boys0:1
- homeAtletico Grau4:2
- awayAlianza Lima1:0
- homeReal Garcilaso4:1
Head to head
- 05/17/26Primera División0:2
- 09/26/25Primera División0:0
- 05/03/25Primera División2:1
- 07/13/24Primera División0:1
- 01/26/24Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Alianza Lima27168344:1856
Alianza Lima27168344:18562
Universitario de Deportes27147643:3149
Universitario de Deportes27147643:31493Garcilaso27146739:2448
Garcilaso27146739:24484
Melgar27137745:2946
Melgar27137745:29465
Real Garcilaso271431040:3845
Real Garcilaso271431040:38456
Los Chankas27126936:4542
Los Chankas27126936:45427
Cienciano271251046:4041
Cienciano271251046:40418
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:3540
Alianza Atletico Sullana27117940:35409
Sporting Cristal271151148:4038
Sporting Cristal271151148:403810
Sport Boys27108929:2638
Sport Boys27108929:263811
Sport Huancayo271051237:4435
Sport Huancayo271051237:443512
Juan Pablo II27971142:5234
Juan Pablo II27971142:523413
Atletico Grau27951326:3132
Atletico Grau27951326:313214
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:3830
Comerciantes Unidos27791135:383015
Cajamarca27761441:5227
Cajamarca27761441:522716
Deportivo Tarma27671429:4225
Deportivo Tarma27671429:422517
UCV Moquegua27671424:4125
UCV Moquegua27671424:412518UT Cajamarca27481532:5020
UT Cajamarca27481532:5020Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.