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Melgar vs Sport Boys: result 1:1

Peru, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Melgar 66%, draw 21%, Sport Boys 13%.

2.7DWWDD
1:1HT 1:1
1.9WWLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
66%21%13%
MelgarPrice 1.4566%DrawPrice 4.2021%Sport BoysPrice 6.5813%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.58xG0.46
65Possession, %35
25Shots5
7Shots on target1
12Corners3
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
8Fouls9

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 70 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Melgar66%

    Actual: Draw — we had 21%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.555%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No60%

    Actual: Yes — we had 40%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Melgar66%67%1.521.45-0.8
XDraw21%21%4.684.20+0.6
2Sport Boys13%13%7.766.58+0.2

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Melgar

  • homeComerciantes Unidos1:1
  • awayUT Cajamarca2:1
  • homeGarcilaso4:2
  • awayUniversitario de Deportes2:2
  • homeSport Boys1:1

Sport Boys

  • awayCusco1:0
  • homeCajamarca4:2
  • awayJuan Pablo II0:2
  • homeAlianza Atletico Sullana1:3
  • awayMelgar1:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Primera División1:1
  • 04/15/26Primera División3:1
  • 10/20/25Primera División0:1
  • 06/14/25Primera División2:1
  • 10/18/24Primera División2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Alianza Lima31198452:2365
3Melgar31159754:3554
4Garcilaso311561047:3351
5Cusco321631346:4451
6Cienciano311551153:4350
8Sporting Cristal311451257:4747
9Los Chankas321381139:5147
10Sport Boys311281135:3344
11Sport Huancayo311351344:4844
12Juan Pablo II321181347:5741

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.