Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau: result 3:1
Peru, Primera DivisiónMatch finished
Final score 3:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Sporting Cristal 64%, draw 21%, Atletico Grau 15%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedSporting Cristal64%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.552%
- Both teams to score MissedNo53%
Actual: Yes — we had 47%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Sporting Cristal
- homeAlianza Lima3:2
- awayCusco1:3
- homeComerciantes Unidos4:2
- awayUT Cajamarca1:0
- homeAtletico Grau3:1
Atletico Grau
- homeUniversitario de Deportes1:3
- awayCienciano0:3
- homeDeportivo Tarma1:1
- awayAlianza Lima1:3
- homeLos Chankas0:0
Head to head
- 09/19/26Primera División3:1
- 04/22/26Primera División1:4
- 11/19/25Primera División2:1
- 07/13/25Primera División2:1
- 08/11/24Primera División1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Peru, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.