All matches

Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo prediction

Peru, Primera División

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Cienciano 56%, draw 23%, Sport Huancayo 21%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.2WLWWD
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%23%21%
Cienciano56%Draw23%Sport Huancayo21%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Cienciano56%1.78—
XDraw23%4.32—
2Sport Huancayo21%4.85—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.61

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CiencianoSport Huancayo

Club Cienciano 56%, CD Sport Huancayo 21%. The safest is “Club Cienciano or draw” at 78%.

Club Cienciano 56%Draw 23%CD Sport Huancayo 21%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
47 · 31 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCiencianoSport HuancayoCombined
Goals scored1.602.003.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Cienciano
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 53:0, 1:3, 1:0, 2:0, 1:1
  • Most shots on target in the league — 5.7 per match18 teams in the league
  • Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:2, 2:5, 2:1, 3:1, 2:1
Sport Huancayo
  • Most shots in the league — 16.8 per match18 teams in the league
  • 10 goals in the last 5 matches0:2, 4:1, 2:1, 1:0, 3:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Cienciano

  • homeAtletico Grau3:0
  • awayComerciantes Unidos1:3
  • homeUT Cajamarca1:0
  • awayUCV Moquegua2:0
  • homeLos Chankas1:1

Sport Huancayo

  • awayJuan Pablo II0:2
  • homeAlianza Atletico Sullana4:1
  • homeCusco2:1
  • awayGarcilaso1:0
  • homeUT Cajamarca3:2

Head to head

  • 05/24/26Primera División2:2
  • 09/21/25Primera División2:5
  • 04/29/25Primera División2:1
  • 09/18/24Primera División3:1
  • 04/12/24Primera División2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Garcilaso311561047:3351
5Cusco321631346:4451
6Cienciano311551153:4350
8Sporting Cristal311451257:4747
9Los Chankas321381139:5147
10Sport Boys311281135:3344
11Sport Huancayo311351344:4844
12Juan Pablo II321181347:5741
13Comerciantes Unidos318111242:4535

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.