Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.51
All matches
Aurora — Universitario de Vinto, LFPB
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
66%19%15%
Aurora66%Draw19%Universitario de Vinto15%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aurora1.51—
XDraw5.30—
2Universitario de Vinto6.79—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
Club Aurora 66%, Universitario de Vinto 15%. The safest is “Club Aurora or draw” at 85%.
Club Aurora 66%Draw 19%Universitario de Vinto 15%
1st half
43 · 35 · 21
2nd half
50 · 32 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Over 8.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAuroraUniversitario de VintoCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Aurora- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches1:0, 2:2, 3:0, 0:0, 2:4
- 10 draws in 23 matches — most in the league6th place, 34 points
- 15th of 16 for corners — 8.9 per match16 teams in the league
Universitario de Vinto- Winless away in 8 matches1:2, 1:1, 0:2, 3:4, 0:5
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 51:2, 2:1, 1:3, 1:1, 3:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Aurora
- homeReal Tomayapo1:0
- awayReal Oruro0:1
- homeNacional Potosi2:2
- awayGuabira1:3
- awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
Universitario de Vinto
- awayBolivar1:2
- homeCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:1
- homeReal Oruro1:3
- awayBlooming1:1
- homeIndependiente Petrolero3:1
Head to head
- 06/02/26LFPB2:1
- 12/08/25LFPB2:0
- 07/06/25LFPB2:1
- 10/22/24LFPB1:2
- 05/25/24LFPB2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Bolivia, LFPB: upcoming and recently played.
Upcoming
Real Potosi
–
Independiente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
–
AuroraReal Oruro
–
Nacional PotosiAcademia del Balompie
–
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo BuloThe Strongest
–
Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San JosePlayed
Bolivar
2:1
Universitario de Vinto✓Nacional Potosi3:0
Guabira✓Oriente Petrolero2:1The Strongest×Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.