Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.51
All matches
Oriente Petrolero — Aurora, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Oriente Petrolero
1.9DWWLL
Aurora
1.9LDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%24%24%
Oriente Petrolero52%Draw24%Aurora24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Oriente Petrolero1.93—
XDraw4.18—
2Aurora4.11—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2776 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2768 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2759 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Oriente PetroleroAurora
CD Oriente Petrolero 52%, Club Aurora 24%. The safest is “CD Oriente Petrolero or draw” at 77%.
CD Oriente Petrolero 52%Draw 24%Club Aurora 24%
1st half
38 · 36 · 26
2nd half
43 · 35 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 11.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricOriente PetroleroAuroraCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Oriente Petrolero- Most yellow cards in the league — 3.0 per match16 teams in the league
- 2.0 goals per game at home6 matches
Aurora- 10 draws in 22 matches — most in the league6th place, 31 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Oriente Petrolero
- awayGuabira1:1
- homeAcademia del Balompie1:0
- awayReal Tomayapo2:0
- awayReal Potosi1:2
- homeAlways Ready1:2
Aurora
- awayReal Oruro0:1
- homeNacional Potosi2:2
- awayGuabira1:3
- awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
- homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
Head to head
- 07/19/26LFPB2:2
- 08/04/25LFPB3:0
- 03/30/25LFPB1:5
- 09/25/24LFPB5:0
- 05/12/24LFPB1:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
The Strongest22136341:2445
The Strongest22136341:24454
Real Potosi22108429:1438
Real Potosi22108429:14385
Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
Oriente Petrolero22104838:28346
Aurora22710533:3031
Aurora22710533:30317
Guabira2286834:4430
Guabira2286834:44308
Blooming22610630:2328
Blooming22610630:2328Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.