Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
Bolivar — Universitario de Vinto, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Bolivar
3.6WWWWW
Universitario de Vinto
1.2WLDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
87%11%
Bolivar87%Draw11%Universitario de Vinto3%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bolivar1.15—
XDraw9.49—
2Universitario de Vinto37.59—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BolivarUniversitario de Vinto
Club Bolívar 87%, Universitario de Vinto 3%. The safest is “Club Bolívar or draw” at 98%.
Club Bolívar 87%Draw 11%Universitario de Vinto 3%
1st half
55 · 33 · 12
2nd half
70 · 22 · 8
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBolivarUniversitario de VintoCombined
Goals scored2.401.403.80
Conceded0.601.602.20
Corners8.611.410.0
Cards2.43.86.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Bolivar- 10 wins in a row1:0, 1:0, 4:2, 2:1, 4:0
- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:0, 4:2, 4:1, 4:1, 2:1
- 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 1:0, 4:2, 2:1, 4:0
Universitario de Vinto- Winless away in 7 matches1:1, 0:2, 3:4, 0:5, 1:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- 2nd in the league for corners — 11.0 per match16 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Bolivar
- awayNacional Potosi1:0
- homeBlooming1:0
- homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose4:2
- awayReal Tomayapo2:1
- awayIndependiente Petrolero4:0
Universitario de Vinto
- homeCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:1
- homeReal Oruro1:3
- awayBlooming1:1
- homeIndependiente Petrolero3:1
- awayAcademia del Balompie0:2
Head to head
- 05/16/26LFPB2:3
- 11/03/25LFPB3:0
- 05/24/25LFPB1:1
- 12/13/24LFPB5:1
- 08/25/24LFPB1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Bolivar22163356:2251
Bolivar22163356:22512
Always Ready22146250:1548
Always Ready22146250:15483
The Strongest22136341:2445
The Strongest22136341:24454
Real Potosi22108429:1438
Real Potosi22108429:14385
Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
Oriente Petrolero22104838:28346
Aurora22710533:3031
Aurora22710533:30317
Guabira2286834:4430
Guabira2286834:44308
Blooming22610630:2328
Blooming22610630:23289
Nacional Potosi22841032:3128
Nacional Potosi22841032:312810
Real Oruro22831136:5127
Real Oruro22831136:512711
Independiente Petrolero22751027:3726
Independiente Petrolero22751027:372612Universitario de Vinto22631329:4321
Universitario de Vinto22631329:432113
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo22631322:4221
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo22631322:422114
Academia del Balompie22621431:4720
Academia del Balompie22621431:4720Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.