All matches

Oriente Petrolero — The Strongest, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Oriente Petrolero
1.9DWWLL
  
The Strongest
2.9WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
33%26%41%
Oriente Petrolero33%Draw26%The Strongest41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Oriente Petrolero33%3.06—
XDraw26%3.85—
2The Strongest41%2.42—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.42

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2295 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2290 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2279 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Oriente PetroleroThe Strongest

CD Oriente Petrolero 33%, Club The Strongest 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

CD Oriente Petrolero 33%Draw 26%Club The Strongest 41%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Over 25.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricOriente PetroleroThe StrongestCombined
Goals scored1.202.403.60
Conceded1.000.801.80
Corners8.69.69.1
Cards3.42.05.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Oriente Petrolero
  • Most yellow cards in the league — 3.0 per match16 teams in the league
  • 2.0 goals per game at home6 matches
The Strongest
  • 12 goals in the last 5 matches2:1, 0:1, 2:1, 5:0, 3:1
  • Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 2:0, 2:3, 6:2, 1:0
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Oriente Petrolero

  • awayGuabira1:1
  • homeAcademia del Balompie1:0
  • awayReal Tomayapo2:0
  • awayReal Potosi1:2
  • homeAlways Ready1:2

The Strongest

  • homeAlways Ready2:1
  • awayReal Potosi0:1
  • awayAcademia del Balompie2:1
  • homeReal Oruro5:0
  • homeReal Tomayapo3:1

Head to head

  • 07/16/26LFPB1:2
  • 09/29/25LFPB0:2
  • 05/18/25LFPB3:2
  • 12/17/24LFPB2:6
  • 05/26/24LFPB0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Bolivar22163356:2251
2Always Ready22146250:1548
3The Strongest22136341:2445
4Real Potosi22108429:1438
5Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
6Aurora22710533:3031
7Guabira2286834:4430

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.