Both teams to score
Yes67%
ours 1.50
No33%
ours 3.01
All matches
Real Oruro — Nacional Potosi, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Real Oruro
1.6LWWLL
Nacional Potosi
2.0LDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%24%37%
Real Oruro39%Draw24%Nacional Potosi37%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Oruro2.56—
XDraw4.15—
2Nacional Potosi2.71—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3273 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3263 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3246 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Real OruroNacional Potosi
CDT Real Oruro 39%, CA Nacional Potosí 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
CDT Real Oruro 39%Draw 24%CA Nacional Potosí 37%
1st half
33 · 35 · 32
2nd half
36 · 29 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 27.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal OruroNacional PotosiCombined
Goals scored1.001.402.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Real Oruro- Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.4 per match16 teams in the league
- Worst defence in the league — 56 conceded in 23 matches11th place, 27 points
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
Nacional Potosi- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Real Oruro
- awayAlways Ready1:5
- homeAurora1:0
- awayUniversitario de Vinto3:1
- homeReal Potosi0:2
- awayThe Strongest0:5
Nacional Potosi
- homeBolivar0:1
- awayAurora2:2
- homeAlways Ready0:4
- awayGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
- homeBlooming2:1
Head to head
- 07/20/26LFPB4:1
- 12/11/25LFPB1:2
- 07/14/25LFPB3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Independiente Petrolero23851031:3929
Independiente Petrolero23851031:39299
Blooming23610731:2528
Blooming23610731:252810
Nacional Potosi22841032:3128
Nacional Potosi22841032:312811
Real Oruro23831237:5627
Real Oruro23831237:562712
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo23731324:4324
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo23731324:432413
Universitario de Vinto22631329:4321
Universitario de Vinto22631329:4321Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.