Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
Nacional Potosi — Guabira, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Nacional Potosi
2.0LDLWW
Guabira
1.9DLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
62%21%17%
Nacional Potosi62%Draw21%Guabira17%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nacional Potosi1.62—
XDraw4.66—
2Guabira5.91—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Nacional PotosiGuabira
CA Nacional Potosí 62%, CD Guabirá 17%. The safest is “CA Nacional Potosí or draw” at 84%.
CA Nacional Potosí 62%Draw 21%CD Guabirá 17%
1st half
48 · 37 · 15
2nd half
49 · 31 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricNacional PotosiGuabiraCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded1.602.604.20
Corners12.28.210.2
Cards2.22.64.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Nacional Potosi- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Guabira- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 1:4, 3:1, 0:6, 1:1
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:1, 1:4, 3:1, 0:6, 1:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Nacional Potosi
- homeBolivar0:1
- awayAurora2:2
- homeAlways Ready0:4
- awayGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose3:0
- homeBlooming2:1
Guabira
- homeOriente Petrolero1:1
- awayGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose1:4
- homeAurora3:1
- awayAlways Ready0:6
- homeReal Potosi1:1
Head to head
- 05/17/26LFPB1:2
- 08/24/25LFPB0:1
- 04/14/25LFPB3:0
- 10/24/24LFPB3:0
- 05/26/24LFPB1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
Oriente Petrolero22104838:28346
Aurora22710533:3031
Aurora22710533:30317Guabira2286834:4430
Guabira2286834:44308
Blooming22610630:2328
Blooming22610630:23289Nacional Potosi22841032:3128
Nacional Potosi22841032:312810
Real Oruro22831136:5127
Real Oruro22831136:512711
Independiente Petrolero22751027:3726
Independiente Petrolero22751027:3726Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.