All matches

Real Potosi — Independiente Petrolero, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Real Potosi
2.3WWWWD
  
Independiente Petrolero
1.8DLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
67%21%12%
Real Potosi67%Draw21%Independiente Petrolero12%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Potosi67%1.50—
XDraw21%4.75—
2Independiente Petrolero12%8.08—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2776 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2768 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2759 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real PotosiIndependiente Petrolero

Club Real Potosí 67%, Club Independiente Petrolero 12%. The safest is “Club Real Potosí or draw” at 88%.

Club Real Potosí 67%Draw 21%Club Independiente Petrolero 12%
1st half
48 · 39 · 13
2nd half
47 · 35 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal PotosiIndependiente PetroleroCombined
Goals scored1.400.401.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Real Potosi
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 1:0, 2:0, 2:1, 1:1
  • 4 wins in a row1:0, 1:0, 2:0, 2:1, 1:1
  • Best defence in the league — 14 conceded in 22 matches4th place, 38 points
Independiente Petrolero
  • Winless away in 4 matches0:0, 0:2, 1:3, 0:3, 2:1
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:0, 0:2, 1:3, 1:3, 0:4
  • Winless in 5 matches0:0, 0:2, 1:3, 1:3, 0:4

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Real Potosi

  • awayAcademia del Balompie1:0
  • homeThe Strongest1:0
  • awayReal Oruro2:0
  • homeOriente Petrolero2:1
  • awayGuabira1:1

Independiente Petrolero

  • awayBlooming0:0
  • awayAlways Ready0:2
  • homeCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo1:3
  • awayUniversitario de Vinto1:3
  • homeBolivar0:4

Head to head

  • 07/21/26LFPB2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Always Ready22146250:1548
3The Strongest22136341:2445
4Real Potosi22108429:1438
5Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
6Aurora22710533:3031
7Guabira2286834:4430
8Blooming22610630:2328
9Nacional Potosi22841032:3128
10Real Oruro22831136:5127
11Independiente Petrolero22751027:3726
12Universitario de Vinto22631329:4321
13Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo22631322:4221

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.