Both teams to score
Yes63%
ours 1.58
No37%
ours 2.73
All matches
Aurora — The Strongest, LFPB
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
35%25%40%
Aurora35%Draw25%The Strongest40%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
Available with PremiumUnlock
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aurora2.89—
XDraw3.94—
2The Strongest2.50—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
This market opens with Premium.
Over 9.5 corners
This market opens with Premium.
Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AuroraThe Strongest
Club Aurora 35%, Club The Strongest 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Club Aurora 35%Draw 25%Club The Strongest 40%
1st half
39 · 36 · 25
2nd half
28 · 33 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAuroraThe StrongestCombined
Goals scored1.202.003.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Aurora- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches1:0, 2:2, 3:0, 0:0, 2:4
- 10 draws in 23 matches — most in the league6th place, 34 points
- 15th of 16 for corners — 8.9 per match16 teams in the league
The Strongest- 10 goals in the last 5 matches1:2, 2:1, 0:1, 2:1, 5:0
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
- 3rd in the table — 45 points from 23 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Aurora
- homeReal Tomayapo1:0
- awayReal Oruro0:1
- homeNacional Potosi2:2
- awayGuabira1:3
- awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
The Strongest
- awayOriente Petrolero1:2
- homeAlways Ready2:1
- awayReal Potosi0:1
- awayAcademia del Balompie2:1
- homeReal Oruro5:0
Head to head
- 07/31/26LFPB1:1
- 09/13/25LFPB2:1
- 04/18/25LFPB2:3
- 11/24/24LFPB1:0
- 07/27/24LFPB1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Bolivia, LFPB: upcoming and recently played.
Upcoming
Real Potosi
–
Independiente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
–
AuroraReal Oruro
–
Nacional PotosiAcademia del Balompie
–
Cultural San Antonio de Bulo BuloThe Strongest
–
Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San JosePlayed
Bolivar
2:1
Universitario de Vinto✓Nacional Potosi3:0
Guabira✓Oriente Petrolero2:1The Strongest×Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
3 days freeAlready have an account? Sign in
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.