Alianza Lima 2:0 Deportivo Tarma, Primera División: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
Peru, Primera DivisiónMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedAlianza Lima73%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.551%
- Both teams to score LandedNo63%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Alianza Lima
- awaySporting Cristal2:3
- awayUCV Moquegua1:0
- homeAtletico Grau3:1
- awayCusco2:1
- homeDeportivo Tarma2:0
Deportivo Tarma
- homeUCV Moquegua2:0
- awayAtletico Grau1:1
- awayLos Chankas1:2
- homeCajamarca0:0
- homeCienciano2:1
Head to head
- 09/19/26Primera División2:0
- 04/14/26Primera División1:0
- 08/17/25Primera División3:1
- 03/29/25Primera División0:3
- 08/11/24Primera División0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Peru, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.