All matches

Real Oruro — Academia del Balompie, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
60%20%19%
Real Oruro60%Draw20%Academia del Balompie19%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Oruro60%1.66—
XDraw20%4.88—
2Academia del Balompie19%5.17—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes67%

ours 1.49

No33%

ours 3.04

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real OruroAcademia del Balompie

CDT Real Oruro 60%, Academia del Balompié Boliviano 19%. The safest is “CDT Real Oruro or draw” at 81%.

CDT Real Oruro 60%Draw 20%Academia del Balompié Boliviano 19%
1st half
45 · 34 · 22
2nd half
47 · 29 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal OruroAcademia del BalompieCombined
Goals scored1.000.801.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Real Oruro
  • Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.4 per match16 teams in the league
  • Worst defence in the league — 56 conceded in 23 matches11th place, 27 points
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
Academia del Balompie
  • Winless away in 8 matches2:4, 0:1, 1:6, 1:4, 0:2
  • 5 defeats in a row2:4, 0:1, 0:1, 1:2, 1:6
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches14 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Real Oruro

  • awayAlways Ready1:5
  • homeAurora1:0
  • awayUniversitario de Vinto3:1
  • homeReal Potosi0:2
  • awayThe Strongest0:5

Academia del Balompie

  • awayIndependiente Petrolero2:4
  • homeReal Potosi0:1
  • awayOriente Petrolero0:1
  • homeThe Strongest1:2
  • awayBlooming1:6

Head to head

  • 08/04/26LFPB1:4
  • 08/08/25LFPB2:1
  • 04/04/25LFPB0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Guabira2386934:4730
10Blooming23610731:2528
11Real Oruro23831237:5627
13Universitario de Vinto23631430:4521
15Academia del Balompie23621533:5120
16Real Tomayapo23551316:4020

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.