Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.57
All matches
Guabira — Bolivar, LFPB
Bolivia, LFPB
Guabira
1.9DLWLD
Bolivar
3.6WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
14%20%66%
Guabira14%Draw20%Bolivar66%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Guabira7.06—
XDraw4.99—
2Bolivar1.52—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3273 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3263 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3246 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
GuabiraBolivar
CD Guabirá 14%, Club Bolívar 66%. The safest is “Club Bolívar or draw” at 84%.
CD Guabirá 14%Draw 20%Club Bolívar 66%
1st half
20 · 36 · 44
2nd half
19 · 28 · 53
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 4.5
70%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGuabiraBolivarCombined
Goals scored1.202.403.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Guabira- Unbeaten at home in 8 matches1:1, 3:1, 1:1, 1:1, 3:1
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches13 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 1:4, 3:1, 0:6, 1:1
Bolivar- 10 wins in a row1:0, 1:0, 4:2, 2:1, 4:0
- 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 1:0, 4:2, 2:1, 4:0
- Unbeaten away in 5 matches1:0, 2:1, 4:0, 4:2, 4:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Guabira
- homeOriente Petrolero1:1
- awayGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose1:4
- homeAurora3:1
- awayAlways Ready0:6
- homeReal Potosi1:1
Bolivar
- awayNacional Potosi1:0
- homeBlooming1:0
- homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose4:2
- awayReal Tomayapo2:1
- awayIndependiente Petrolero4:0
Head to head
- 07/18/26LFPB0:4
- 09/13/25LFPB0:4
- 04/20/25LFPB2:4
- 12/20/24LFPB2:3
- 09/22/24LFPB0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Always Ready23156255:1651
Always Ready23156255:16512
Bolivar22163356:2251
Bolivar22163356:22513
The Strongest22136341:2445
The Strongest22136341:24454
Real Potosi23108530:1638
Real Potosi23108530:16385
Oriente Petrolero22104838:2834
Oriente Petrolero22104838:28346
Aurora23810534:3034
Aurora23810534:30347
Guabira2286834:4430
Guabira2286834:44308
Independiente Petrolero23851031:3929
Independiente Petrolero23851031:39299
Blooming23610731:2528
Blooming23610731:2528Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.