Both teams to score
Yes31%
ours 3.18
No69%
ours 1.46
All matches
—
CD Concepción — CD Unión La Calera, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
CD Concepción
1.9DLWDWCD Unión La Calera
1.1WLLDLOutcome probability
602020
CD Concepción60%Draw20%CD Unión La Calera20%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CD Concepción1.66—
XDraw4.98—
2CD Unión La Calera5.09—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCD ConcepciónCD Unión La CaleraCombined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners8.210.79.4
Cards2.22.54.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
CD ConcepciónCD Unión La Calera8Table position1446.70%Possession44.80%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour CD Concepción: a home win is rated at 60%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Form and context
CD Concepción
- awayCSD Colo-Colo1:1
- homeAudax Italiano La Florida SADP0:1
- awayDeportivo Ñublense SADP1:0
- homeCD Coquimbo Unido1:1
- awayCD Cobresal2:0
CD Unión La Calera
- homeClub Deportes Limache1:0
- awayCD O'Higgins1:2
- homeCD La Serena0:1
- awayAudax Italiano La Florida SADP0:0
- awayDeportivo Ñublense SADP1:2
Head to head
- 04/14/26Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Everton de Viña del Mar2396834:2633
Everton de Viña del Mar2396834:26337
Deportivo Ñublense SADP2388728:3132
Deportivo Ñublense SADP2388728:31328CD Concepción23941025:2631
CD Concepción23941025:26319
CD La Serena2379734:3830
CD La Serena2379734:383010
CD Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
CD Coquimbo Unido2285931:312911
Audax Italiano La Florida SADP2377926:3128
Audax Italiano La Florida SADP2377926:312812
CD O'Higgins23831228:3627
CD O'Higgins23831228:362713
CD Huachipato21741029:3925
CD Huachipato21741029:392514CD Unión La Calera23651223:3523
CD Unión La Calera23651223:352315
CD Universidad de Concepción22641217:3722
CD Universidad de Concepción22641217:372216
CD Cobresal23631432:4721
CD Cobresal23631432:4721