Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.34
All matches
Castellon — Eibar, Segunda División
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
61%22%17%
Castellon61%Draw22%Eibar17%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Castellon1.64—
XDraw4.56—
2Eibar5.80—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CastellonEibar
CD Castellón 61%, SD Eibar 17%. The safest is “CD Castellón or draw” at 83%.
CD Castellón 61%Draw 22%SD Eibar 17%
1st half
46 · 36 · 18
2nd half
48 · 34 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 20.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCastellonEibarCombined
Goals scored2.001.603.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Castellon- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches4:0, 1:1, 5:0, 2:0, 0:0
- 3 clean sheets in the last 54:0, 3:0, 0:1, 1:1, 2:0
- Best attack in the league — 22 goals in 11 matches1st place, 26 points
Eibar- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 50:2, 1:1, 1:3, 3:1, 3:2
- 3rd in the table — 22 points from 11 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Castellon
- homeSporting Gijon4:0
- awayLas Palmas3:0
- awayAndorra0:1
- homeCeuta1:1
- awayLeganes2:0
Eibar
- awayCordoba0:2
- homeMallorca1:1
- awayReal Oviedo1:3
- awayAlbacete3:1
- homeLas Palmas3:2
Head to head
- 05/31/26Segunda División2:1
- 10/12/25Segunda División0:0
- 02/15/25Segunda División2:0
- 08/17/24Segunda División0:1
More matches in this competition
Spain, Segunda División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.