All matches

Albacete — Sabadell, Segunda División

Spain, Segunda División

Albacete
1.7LLLDL
—
Sabadell
2.0DDWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
35%26%39%
Albacete35%Draw26%Sabadell39%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Albacete35%2.84—
XDraw26%3.86—
2Sabadell39%2.57—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.86

No46%

ours 2.16

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAlbaceteSabadellCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded1.170.331.50
Corners7.08.77.8
Cards2.32.75.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

AlbaceteSabadell

Albacete Balompié 35%, CE Sabadell FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Albacete Balompié 35%Draw 26%CE Sabadell FC 39%
1st half
32 · 38 · 30
2nd half
25 · 42 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Albacete

  • homeEibar1:3
  • awayGirona0:2
  • homeCordoba1:2
  • awayGranada1:1
  • awayCastellon0:2

Sabadell

  • homeAndorra0:0
  • awayCelta Vigo II1:1
  • homeReal Oviedo3:1
  • awayMallorca0:2
  • homeCordoba3:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Mallorca84228:314
6Burgos842212:914
7Sabadell83418:613
8Sporting Gijon84138:813
9Granada832313:1311
10Real Oviedo83238:811
11Las Palmas832312:1311
12Tenerife832310:1211
13Leganes83236:1111
14Real Valladolid82338:119
15Cordoba830513:189
16Real Sociedad II822411:138
17Eldense82248:108
18Celta Vigo II822410:148
19Cadiz814311:107
20Andorra821512:157
21Ceuta81257:185
22Albacete80175:151

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.